Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.029914 0.032170 0.034431 0.036863 0.039401 0.041969 0.044760
2025-11-02 0.025761 0.029312 0.032992 0.037076 0.041467 0.046035 0.051130
2025-11-09 0.023110 0.027386 0.031925 0.037073 0.042719 0.048697 0.055478
2025-11-16 0.021068 0.025869 0.031072 0.037081 0.043780 0.050976 0.059245
2025-11-23 0.019278 0.024464 0.030192 0.036915 0.044520 0.052791 0.062402
2025-11-30 0.017802 0.023299 0.029476 0.036835 0.045267 0.054539 0.065418
2025-12-07 0.016243 0.021932 0.028439 0.036304 0.045429 0.055569 0.067575
2025-12-14 0.014823 0.020644 0.027418 0.035721 0.045467 0.056405 0.069468
2025-12-21 0.013385 0.019252 0.026202 0.034843 0.045107 0.056737 0.070741
2025-12-28 0.012886 0.018988 0.026312 0.035512 0.046533 0.059108 0.074338
2026-01-04 0.012157 0.018393 0.025984 0.035626 0.047281 0.060675 0.076996
2026-01-11 0.011405 0.017728 0.025538 0.035567 0.047798 0.061955 0.079308
2026-01-18 0.010962 0.017479 0.025637 0.036220 0.049231 0.064387 0.083064
2026-01-25 0.010322 0.016945 0.025365 0.036412 0.050116 0.066191 0.086115
2026-02-01 0.009653 0.016333 0.024961 0.036411 0.050742 0.067669 0.088769
2026-02-08 0.009040 0.015764 0.024583 0.036419 0.051359 0.069124 0.091386
2026-02-15 0.008405 0.015128 0.024090 0.036255 0.051745 0.070285 0.093644
2026-02-22 0.007848 0.014574 0.023679 0.036176 0.052219 0.071541 0.096007
2026-03-01 0.007170 0.013804 0.022947 0.035651 0.052111 0.072071 0.097483
2026-03-08 0.006524 0.013043 0.022196 0.035074 0.051913 0.072473 0.098790
2026-03-15 0.005830 0.012167 0.021250 0.034207 0.051317 0.072363 0.099457
2026-03-22 0.005666 0.012108 0.021447 0.034868 0.052686 0.074687 0.103097
2026-03-29 0.005344 0.011779 0.021247 0.034981 0.053337 0.076115 0.105638